‎By JOHN MUSEMBI

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The county will be generally calm given cool and cloudy conditions are likely to be experienced in some parts of the county in the next seven days. "Intermittent cool and cloudy conditions are likely in some parts of the County during the forecast period", said Dr Daniel Mbithi, the county Director of Meteorological Services.

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‎But maximum temperatures remain elevated especially in Mwingi North, Mwingi Central and Kitui East sub counties.  These regions recorded the highest daytime temperatures two weeks earlier.

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‎This week's maximum temperature is forecast to be between 23°C and 33°C.  The minimum temperatures on the other hand, will range from 13°C to 21°C. Of note is Mutonguni and Mumoni Wards previously featured in weather reports as having low temperatures.

By JOHN MUSEMBI 

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Acting Director of Meteorological Services Edward Muriuki noted that while the forecast may change as new data is availed,  there was an "80-82 % likelihood of El Nino during June-August 2026". He added that there was  probabilities of near or above 90-96% for El- Nino to continue through the end of 2026.

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‎Experts expect this phenomenon to have varied impacts in Kenya and East Africa. Some of the outcomes expected by KMD are increased rainfall over the entire country during the October-November-December rainfall season.

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‎KMD assured Kenyans that it will provide monthly weather conditions on this matter or when it is required.

By JOHN MUSEMBI 

There is little change in temperature ranges expected this week compared to the previous one given the maximum temperatures will vary between 24°C and 34°C. The lowest temperature range will be reading between 15°C and 22°C.

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‎The weatherman further. notes that in the last one week, the highest daytime temperatures were felt in parts of Mwingi North, Kitui South and Kitui East subcounties. The coldest subcounties on the other hand were Kitui Central and Mwingi West. "The lowest night-time (minimum) temperature was recorded in the hills of Mutonguni Ward and Mumoni Ward, Kitui Central and parts of Mwingi West subcounties", said Dr Mbithi, the Kitui County Met boss in his weekly weather forecast report shared with MWINGI TIMES.

‎By JOHN MUSEMBI

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The maximum temperatures range for this week are expected to range between 25°C and 34°C while the minimum temperatures are expected to vary between 15°C and 22°C.

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‎Strong winds will batter the expansive county. "Strong easterly to south-easterly winds with speeds not exceeding 25knots are expected to persist in most parts of the County", said Dr Mbithi.

‎By JOHN MUSEMBI

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The maximum temperature across the county will vary between 26°C and 35°C while the. minimum temperature range is expected to be between 15°C and 23°C in the next one week.

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‎As has been happening before, strong winds will blow at a speed of around 25knots in most parts of the County.

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‎Residents have been advised to get in touch with extension officers from their localities for best advice on farm practices to use in light of this weather forecast.

‎By JOHN MUSEMBI

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‎"Generally, the rains have tremendously reduced and likely coming to an end any time from this week going forward", said Kitui County Director of Meteorological Services Dr Daniel Mbithi in a weekly weather forecast report shared to MWINGI TIMES.

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‎The Met Department further notes a marked change in temperatures last week. Mwingi North and Kitui East subcounties had the highest daytime temperatures recorded.

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The lowest night-time temperature was recorded in Mutonguni hills in Kitui West.

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‎KMD expects the maximum temperature to range from 24°C to 35°C this week while the minimum temperature is expected to oscillate between 15°C and 22°C.

‎By JOHN MUSEMBI

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Of these, only Kajiado county is likely to get near average rainfall in its Western Sector. "Heavy events possible in a few parts during the first half [of the month]", warns Kenya Meteorological Department in the May 2026 Climate Outlook.

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‎Of note is that the second half of the month will witness cessation of long rains over much of the country including our region. "Depressed rainfall is expected during the second half of the month, signalling the cessation of the long rains over much of the country", the report reads in part.

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‎As of temperature ranges, the South Eastern Lowlands are expected to experience a maximum temperature of between 23°C and 33°C while the minimum temperature will oscillate from 10°C to 22°C.

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‎By JOHN MUSEMBI

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"Isolated heavy afternoon and night showers and thunderstorms are likely to occur in some parts of these areas", said Dr Daniel Mbithi, the County Director of Meteorological Services.

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‎Strong winds blowing from eastern side to the south eastern side are likely to blow at a speed of up to 25knots.

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‎Farmers have been called upon to consult their respective local extension officers for more advice on the best farm practices.

‎By JOHN MUSEMBI

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‎"During the forecast period, rainfall is expected to reduce in some parts of the county and increase in intensity towards the weekend", said Dr Daniel Mbithi, the County Director of Meteorological Services.

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KMD has issued an advisory to Kenyans in lowland counties like Kitui, Makueni and Taita Taveta to remain vigilant for potential floods, flash floods and poor visibility. 

Additionally the weatherman urges Kenyans to avoid driving through or walking in moving water. They should also not shelter under trees during rainfall sessions or near grilled windows since this will increase their exposure to lighting strikes. 

‎Strong winds are expected to persist in most parts of the county. They will be blowing from the southern side to the south eastern direction at a speed exceeding 25knots or 12.5m/s.

By JOHN MUSEMBI 

Strong winds have been forecast to persist across the county. They will be blowing from easterly side to the south-eastern direction at a speed of 25knots or 12.86m/s.

There will be moderate temperatures variations for both maximum and minimum ranges. The maximum temperature is expected to oscillate between 23°C and 31°C while the minimum temperature will range from 16°C to 21°C.

By JOHN MUSEMBI 

This moderate rainfall will be experienced twice; at the start of the week and at the end of the week. In the middle of the week, there will be light rains. 

Both temperature and wind variations are not expected to register much changes in readings. The maximum temperature will range between 22°C to 32°C while the minimum temperature is estimated to oscillate between 16°C and 22°C.

Like in weeks before, strong north easterly to south easterly winds are expected to persist in most parts of Kitui county.  Residents have been advised to consult with county agricultural extensions officers to get appropriate farm practice recommendations in light of this weather forecast.

‎By JOHN MUSEMBI

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Kitui county weather forecast for the week of 31 March to 6 April, 2026|Kenya Meteorological Department

‎The temperature range will be mild, signalling a departure from dry spell which marked the first three months of the year. The maximum temperature range is forecast to vary between 23°C and 32°C while the minimum temperature range will range from 16°C to 22°C.

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‎Wind speed remains unchanged this week as has been before blowing at around 25 knots or 12.86m/s.  It will blow from north eastern side to south east.

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As per temperature ranges,  the weatherman estimates that the maximum temperature will vary from a low of 23°C to a high of 31°C. The minimum temperature,  on the other hand, will be between 16°C and 22°C.

For the most parts of Kitui county,  it is expected that strong north easterly to south easterly winds will blow across the landscape at a speed of up to 25knots or 12.86m/s.

The next month of April is expected to be the peak of March-April-May rainfall season where there will be isolated heavy rainfall. "Isolated heavy rainfall events are likely to occur in some parts of the county", the report reads in part.

May will mark the end of the MAM rainfall season.

The weekly weather forecast indicates that the rainfall being experienced in Kenya is likely to intensify to more than 20mm in a day from  March 19 to 24.

"The intensity is expected to peak  between 20th to 23rd March 2026, before decreasing in intensity on  24th March 2026. All Ukambani region counties are among the areas of concern for the weatherman.  Also under close watch are Mt Kenya Counties such as Meru, Embu, Isiolo and Tharaka Nithi as well as other select counties in Kenya. 

Residents in all the counties likely to be affected by heavy rains have been advised to watch out for potential floods, flash floods and poor visibility.  "Flood water may appear where it has not rained heavily especially downstream", instructed  KMD.

Further, in its March weather forecast,  the Met Department estimates that most places in Kitui are likely to receive near average to above average rainfall.  In the just concluded first half of this month of March,  the weatherman observed that rainfall was enhanced over much of the county. 

However,  the second half of the month is predicted to cause a dry spell affecting maturity of the food crops already planted and being tended. "Dry spells are expected to occur during the second half of the month when the Madden-Julian Oscillation [MJO] is predicted to be in unfavourable phases", said  Kitui County Director of Meteorological Services Dr Daniel Mbithi. 

This latest weather forecast comes against the backdrop of a week-long dry spell that engulfed the county. Farmers are getting worried whether the germinating crops would survive for long if the rains take longer to return. 

Additionally, Mbithi's projection indicates that the rains will be less than 20mm.

The March-April-May rainfall season will peak in April  where it  is expected to be marked by isolated heavy rainfall events in some parts of Kitui county.   The rainfall season will end in May.

Last week witnessed increased rainfall records given most parts of Kitui county received heavy downpour.  "A number of stations recorded very heavy rainfall exceeding 70mm in 24 hours on 3rd in Endau and Mui and again in Endau in 4th", said  Director Daniel Mbithi. 

The other weather conditions like temperature and wind remain unchanged this week since the maximum temperature will range between 24°C and 32°C while the minimum temperature range is expected to vary from 16°C to 22°C.

Strong winds are expected to blow from north eastern side to south eastern side of the county of Kitui at a speed of 25knots [12.86m/s].

As for this new month of March,  the weatherman says, "most places in Kitui county are likely to receive near average to above average rainfall".

Further predictions indicate that rainfall is likely to be enhanced over most areas of Kitui County during the first two weeks of this month. As we head towards April, brace yourself for dry spells.

For an rainfall season onset to be considered to have taken place, an area must receive at least 20mm of rainfall within three consecutive days and with no dry spells lasting more than seven days. Kitui County Director of Meteorological Services Dr Daniel Mbithi confirmed that most parts of the county already have had an onset of March-April-May rainfall season. 

The maximum temperature for the long rains season are likely to be warmer than average over most parts of Kitui county.  This week's maximum temperature range will be between 22°C and 31°C while the minimum temperatures are likely to oscillate from 16°C to 22°C.

‎"March is expected to mark the onset of the rainfall season over several parts of the County, while April is anticipated to represent the peak of the season, with more widespread and enhanced rainfall distribution", said the weather report from Kenya Meteorological Department.

‎However, during the long rains season of March-April-May, the weatherman's forecast is that temperatures will be warmer than average over the whole county.

‎As for this week's forecast, morning times will be partly cloudy while the rest of the days are likely to be sunny.

‎Moreover, temperature may reach uncomfortable levels since the maximum reading on thermometer is forecast to be between 28°C and 37°C. The minimum temperature is likely to oscillate from 15°C to 24°C, said KMD.

‎As usual, expect wind to blow. This time, strong north-easterly to south-easterly winds of speed  of up to 25 knots or 12.86m/s are expected to be felt.

‎The KMD tasks local extension officers from county government to guide community members on the best farm practices to use in order to prepare for best farm yields. This is due to the adverse effects of climate change which erode resilience built over time by different agricultural stakeholders.

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The Near-Average to Below-Average rainfall forecast covers all Ukambani region, North-eastern Kenya and the Northwest. "Rainfall may be poorly distributed,  with intermittent dry spells that could affect agriculture,  pasture and water availability", said Edward Muriuki,  Ag. Director of the Kenya Meteorological Services. 

In terms of temperature range over the long rainfall season, the weatherman said the entire country will experience warmer-than-average temperatures,  increasing heat-related risks, especially in ASAL areas, coastal regions, and urban centres.

Kitui County CECM for Agriculture and Livestock Dr Mbaya Kimwele said while the Met forecast for March 2026 shows that rainfall will be near to below average,  it will have a slightly better performance than the OND 2025 season. "The rains are likely to start in the 3rd to 4th week of March and end by mid-May", he said.